Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Spezia
Home
2-0
Full time
Stadio Alberto Picco
Livorno
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
21%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
64%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Spezia wins
0
Draws
0
Livorno wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
73%
73%
Attack
46%
73%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
23%
Match Preview & Analysis
Spezia face Livorno in Serie C - Girone B. Spezia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Livorno have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 64% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Spezia, home advantage and superior chance creation make Spezia to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Spezia, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Livorno. Our top recommended betting pick is Spezia Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Picco as part of the Serie C - Girone B.
