Segunda División · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Girona
Home
1-2
Full time
Estadio Municipal de Montilivi
Castellón
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.37 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
28%
Draw
27%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.86
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Girona wins
1
Draws
0
Castellón wins
29 Jul 2026
Girona
3 - 3
Castellón
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
66%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
73%
5%
Head-to-head
5%
28%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Girona
last 6 at home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Castellón
last 6 away from home
3W
2D
1L
1.83
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Girona | Castellón | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Girona
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
20%
Behind
30%
Castellón
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Girona face Castellón in Segunda División. Girona have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Castellón have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Girona won 0, Castellón won 0 and 1 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Castellón's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Castellón to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 28% win probability for Girona, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Castellón. Our top recommended betting pick is Castellón Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.86 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi as part of the Segunda División.
