National League · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Carlisle
Home
2-2
Full time
Brunton Park
Southend
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.06 - 2
Win probability
Home
15%
Draw
16%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
76%
1.24
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
76%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
Get this match's pick on WhatsApp
Tap, hit send and the bot replies in seconds with the Carlisle v Southend pick. One VIP pick a week is free.
Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Carlisle wins
0
Draws
0
Southend wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
15%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Carlisle
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Southend
last 3 away from home
2W
1D
0L
2.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Carlisle | Southend | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 9/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 67% 6/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 44% 4/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 78% 7/9 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 11% 1/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Carlisle
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
56%
Level
22%
Behind
22%
Southend
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Carlisle face Southend in National League. Carlisle have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.6 points per game). Southend have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 76% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
Southend's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Southend to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 15% win probability for Carlisle, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Southend. Our top recommended betting pick is Southend Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Brunton Park as part of the National League.
