Primeira Liga · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Casa Pia
Home
1-4
Full time
Venue TBC
FC Porto
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.13
Predicted score
0 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.82 - 2.33
Win probability
Home
5%
Draw
13%
Away
83%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
83%
1.13
Double Chance
Draw/Away
96%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
33%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.15
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Casa Pia wins
0
Draws
0
FC Porto wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
80%
5%
Attack
60%
26%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
5%
Win probability
83%
Home and away record
Casa Pia
last 2 at home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
4.00
conceded a game
FC Porto
last 2 away from home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.50
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Casa Pia | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 38% 3/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/8 38% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 2/8 25% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/8 63% |
| 75% 6/8 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Casa Pia
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
33%
Behind
67%
FC Porto
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
38%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Casa Pia face FC Porto in Primeira Liga. Casa Pia have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 0 and conceding 11 (0.2 points per game). FC Porto have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 33%.
FC Porto's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 83% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for FC Porto to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 0-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 5% win probability for Casa Pia, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 83% probability for FC Porto. Our top recommended betting pick is FC Porto Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 0 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.15 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 33%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primeira Liga.
