Paulista - U20 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Referencia U20
Home
2-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Mauá U20
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2 - 0.94
Win probability
Home
54%
Draw
25%
Away
20%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Home/Draw
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Referencia U20 wins
0
Draws
0
Mauá U20 wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
26%
Attack
6%
53%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
54%
Win probability
20%
Home and away record
Referencia U20
last 5 at home
1W
0D
4L
0.60
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.80
conceded a game
Mauá U20
last 5 away from home
1W
1D
3L
0.80
points a game
0.60
scored a game
2.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Referencia U20 | Mauá U20 | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Referencia U20
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
40%
Behind
50%
Mauá U20
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
20%
Behind
60%
Match Preview & Analysis
Referencia U20 face Mauá U20 in Paulista - U20. Referencia U20 have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Mauá U20 have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 54% probability backing Referencia U20, home advantage and superior chance creation make Referencia U20 to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 54% win probability for Referencia U20, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 20% probability for Mauá U20. Our top recommended betting pick is Referencia U20 Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Paulista - U20.
