Eredivisie · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Fortuna Sittard
Home
1-5
Full time
Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Ajax
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.74
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.28 - 1.69
Win probability
Home
24%
Draw
21%
Away
54%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
54%
1.74
Double Chance
Draw/Away
75%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fortuna Sittard wins
0
Draws
0
Ajax wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
66%
73%
Attack
95%
40%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
24%
Win probability
54%
Team news
Fortuna Sittard
- R. Bayram · Knee Injury
- L. Zeefuik · Inactive
- I. Marquez · Injury
- Y. Oukili · Groin Injury
- J. Dahlhaus · Inactive
- S. Simons · Hamstring Injury
- S. Wylin · Injury
- K. Peterson · Inactive
Ajax
- S. Adingra · Lacking Match Fitness
- Caio Henrique · Thigh Injury
- K. Dolberg · Knee Injury
- A. Gaaei · Injury
- O. Edvardsen · Inactive
- S. Berghuis · Injury
- D. Blind · Back Injury
- A. Bouwman · Knock
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Fortuna Sittard
last 5 at home
4W
0D
1L
2.40
points a game
1.60
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Ajax
last 6 away from home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
3.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Fortuna Sittard | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Fortuna Sittard
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
20%
Behind
10%
Ajax
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
20%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Fortuna Sittard face Ajax in Eredivisie. Fortuna Sittard have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 9 (2 points per game). Ajax have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 16 and conceding 10 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 63%.
Ajax's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 54% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Ajax to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 24% win probability for Fortuna Sittard, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 54% probability for Ajax. Our top recommended betting pick is Ajax Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 63% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion as part of the Eredivisie.
