Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Atalanta
Home
1-2
Full time
New Balance Arena
Cagliari
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.85
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
22%
Away
16%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
85%
1.11
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.06
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atalanta wins
0
Draws
0
Cagliari wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
26%
80%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
16%
Team news
Atalanta
- I. Hien · Muscle Bruise
- T. Kristensen · Muscle Injury
- G. Gaetano · Muscle Injury
- O. Kossounou · Thigh Injury
- F. Kessie · Calf Injury
- G. Raspadori · Thigh Injury
- S. Kolasinac · Thigh Injury
- R. Bellanova · Thigh Injury
Cagliari
- Riyad Idrissi · Jumpers Knee
- M. Felici · Knee Injury
- R. Idrissi · Knee Injury
- H. Winks · Back Injury
- Y. Trepy · Injury
- M. Nzola · Lacking Match Fitness
- Kevin · Personal Reasons
- Y. Mina · Calf Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Atalanta
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Cagliari
last 3 away from home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Atalanta | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 4/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 0% 0/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/9 11% |
| 38% 3/8 | Both teams scored | 2/9 22% |
| 63% 5/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/9 67% |
| 13% 1/8 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Atalanta
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Cagliari
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Atalanta face Cagliari in Serie A. Atalanta have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Cagliari have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 3 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Atalanta, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atalanta to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Atalanta, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 16% probability for Cagliari. Our top recommended betting pick is Atalanta Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.06 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at New Balance Arena as part of the Serie A.
