Ligue 1 · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Lorient
Home
2-2
Full time
Stade du Moustoir
Toulouse
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.04
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.8 - 1.18
Win probability
Home
46%
Draw
23%
Away
31%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
46%
2.04
Double Chance
Home/Draw
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.49
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
63%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lorient wins
0
Draws
0
Toulouse wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
33%
46%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
46%
Win probability
31%
Home and away record
Lorient
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Toulouse
last 1 away from home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lorient | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 6/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 56% 5/9 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/6 0% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Lorient
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Toulouse
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
50%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lorient face Toulouse in Ligue 1. Lorient have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Toulouse have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 63% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 46% probability backing Lorient, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lorient to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 46% win probability for Lorient, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 31% probability for Toulouse. Our top recommended betting pick is Lorient Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 18:45 (East Africa Time) at Stade du Moustoir as part of the Ligue 1.
