Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Gremio
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gremio wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
66%
40%
Attack
40%
73%
Defence
86%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Gremio
last 7 at home
4W
1D
2L
1.86
points a game
1.57
scored a game
1.14
conceded a game
Vasco DA Gama
last 8 away from home
3W
3D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Gremio | Vasco DA Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Gremio
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Vasco DA Gama
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Vasco DA Gama |
33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 18 |
Gremio |
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 37 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gremio face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Gremio have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 4 (1.4 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 2 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 55% probability backing Gremio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gremio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Gremio, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Gremio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
