Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Gremio
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Vasco DA Gama
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.02 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
65%
Over 2.5
64%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Gremio wins
0
Draws
0
Vasco DA Gama wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
33%
Attack
46%
53%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
55%
Win probability
24%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Gre Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 19 | Vas Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Gremio face Vasco DA Gama in Serie A. Gremio have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (1.2 points per game). Vasco DA Gama have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 65% and Both Teams to Score at 64%.
With a 55% probability backing Gremio, home advantage and superior chance creation make Gremio to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 55% win probability for Gremio, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Vasco DA Gama. Our top recommended betting pick is Gremio Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 64% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Serie A.
