Primera Nacional · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Quilmes
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes
San Martin S.J.
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.92
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.88 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
49%
Draw
27%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
49%
1.92
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.91
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
San Martin S.J. wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
73%
26%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
49%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Quilmes
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
San Martin S.J.
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.60
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Quilmes | San Martin S.J. | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 5/9 56% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
San Martin S.J.
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
44%
Behind
11%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
San Martin S.J. |
35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | +2 | 48 |
| 13 |
Quilmes |
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | +2 | 42 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Quilmes face San Martin S.J. in Primera Nacional. Quilmes have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (0.8 points per game). San Martin S.J. have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 49% probability backing Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 49% win probability for Quilmes, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for San Martin S.J.. Our top recommended betting pick is Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.91 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 20:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes as part of the Primera Nacional.
