Serie A · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Palmeiras
Home
2-0
Full time
Allianz Parque
Sao Paulo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.74
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
18%
Away
11%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.17
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Palmeiras wins
0
Draws
0
Sao Paulo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
46%
93%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
11%
Home and away record
Palmeiras
last 7 at home
4W
2D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.86
scored a game
0.57
conceded a game
Sao Paulo
last 5 away from home
0W
2D
3L
0.40
points a game
0.60
scored a game
1.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Palmeiras
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
Sao Paulo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
60%
Level
30%
Behind
10%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
Palmeiras |
34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 10 |
Sao Paulo |
34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 44 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Palmeiras face Sao Paulo in Serie A. Palmeiras have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 1 (1.8 points per game). Sao Paulo have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing Palmeiras, home advantage and superior chance creation make Palmeiras to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for Palmeiras, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 11% probability for Sao Paulo. Our top recommended betting pick is Palmeiras Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.17 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at Allianz Parque as part of the Serie A.
