Primera Division · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Águila
Home
3-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Inca Aruba
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.59
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.12 - 0.83
Win probability
Home
59%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
59%
1.59
Double Chance
Home/Draw
86%
1.09
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
34%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Águila wins
0
Draws
0
Inca Aruba wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
26%
46%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
59%
Win probability
15%
Home and away record
Águila
last 4 at home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Inca Aruba
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.67
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Águila | Inca Aruba | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% 5/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 25% 2/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 3/7 43% |
At half time
Águila
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
88%
Behind
0%
Inca Aruba
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
57%
Behind
29%
Match Preview & Analysis
Águila face Inca Aruba in Primera Division. Águila have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Inca Aruba have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 34%.
With a 59% probability backing Águila, home advantage and superior chance creation make Águila to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 59% win probability for Águila, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 15% probability for Inca Aruba. Our top recommended betting pick is Águila Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 34%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 21:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primera Division.
