USL League One · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Forward Madison
Home
1-1
Full time
Breese Stevens Field
Sarasota Paradise
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 0.92
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
25%
Away
19%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
81%
1.16
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Forward Madison wins
0
Draws
0
Sarasota Paradise wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
53%
53%
Attack
53%
73%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
19%
Home and away record
Forward Madison
last 8 at home
5W
3D
0L
2.25
points a game
2.63
scored a game
1.13
conceded a game
Sarasota Paradise
last 7 away from home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
0.86
scored a game
1.57
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Forward Madison | Sarasota Paradise | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 80% 8/10 | Both teams scored | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Forward Madison
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
30%
Behind
20%
Sarasota Paradise
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Forward Madison |
30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 11 |
Sarasota Paradise |
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Forward Madison face Sarasota Paradise in USL League One. Forward Madison have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Sarasota Paradise have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 56% probability backing Forward Madison, home advantage and superior chance creation make Forward Madison to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Forward Madison, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 19% probability for Sarasota Paradise. Our top recommended betting pick is Forward Madison Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 22:00 (East Africa Time) at Breese Stevens Field as part of the USL League One.
