Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 12 Sep 2026
Excursionistas
Home
3-0
Full time
Excursionistas Stadium
Villa Dalmine
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excursionistas wins
0
Draws
0
Villa Dalmine wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
80%
Recent form
53%
73%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
93%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
53%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Excursionistas
last 7 at home
5W
1D
1L
2.29
points a game
2.43
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Villa Dalmine
last 6 away from home
2W
3D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.67
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Excursionistas | Villa Dalmine | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 1/10 10% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 1/10 10% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 7/10 70% |
At half time
Excursionistas
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Villa Dalmine
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Excursionistas |
41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | +37 | 81 |
| 5 |
Villa Dalmine |
41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | +13 | 68 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excursionistas face Villa Dalmine in Primera B Metropolitana. Excursionistas have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (2.4 points per game). Villa Dalmine have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 1 (1.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Excursionistas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Excursionistas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Excursionistas, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Villa Dalmine. Our top recommended betting pick is Excursionistas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Saturday, 12 Sep 2026 at 23:00 (East Africa Time) at Excursionistas Stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
