Serie A · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Santos
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Urbano Caldeira
Cruzeiro
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.09
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.4 - 1.49
Win probability
Home
29%
Draw
27%
Away
45%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
45%
2.09
Double Chance
Draw/Away
72%
1.31
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.89
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Santos wins
0
Draws
0
Cruzeiro wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
46%
60%
Attack
53%
66%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
29%
Win probability
45%
Home and away record
Santos
last 8 at home
3W
4D
1L
1.63
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Cruzeiro
last 8 away from home
4W
1D
3L
1.63
points a game
1.38
scored a game
1.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Santos | Cruzeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 10/10 100% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Santos
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Cruzeiro
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Santos face Cruzeiro in Serie A. Santos have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Cruzeiro have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Cruzeiro's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 45% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Cruzeiro to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 29% win probability for Santos, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 45% probability for Cruzeiro. Our top recommended betting pick is Cruzeiro Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.89 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 00:00 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira as part of the Serie A.
