Liga Nacional · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
CD Motagua
Home
1-0
Full time
Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles
Génesis
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
69%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
CD Motagua wins
0
Draws
0
Génesis wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
46%
66%
Attack
53%
80%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
CD Motagua
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
1.83
scored a game
0.83
conceded a game
Génesis
last 3 away from home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| CD Motagua | Génesis | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/6 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/6 17% |
At half time
CD Motagua
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
60%
Behind
10%
Génesis
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
33%
Behind
17%
Match Preview & Analysis
CD Motagua face Génesis in Liga Nacional. CD Motagua have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game). Génesis have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for CD Motagua, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Génesis. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles as part of the Liga Nacional.
