J3 League · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Matsumoto Yamaga
Home
1-3
Full time
Sunpro Alwin
Sagamihara
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.65
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.75
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
20%
Away
57%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
57%
1.65
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
71%
1.32
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
71%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Matsumoto Yamaga wins
0
Draws
0
Sagamihara wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
46%
53%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
57%
Home and away record
Matsumoto Yamaga
last 5 at home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.60
conceded a game
Sagamihara
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Matsumoto Yamaga | Sagamihara | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/6 17% |
| 57% 4/7 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 2/6 33% |
At half time
Matsumoto Yamaga
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Sagamihara
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
17%
Behind
50%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
Sagamihara |
16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 31 |
| 15 |
Matsumoto Yamaga |
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 17 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Matsumoto Yamaga face Sagamihara in J3 League. Matsumoto Yamaga have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (0.8 points per game). Sagamihara have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 71% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
Sagamihara's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 57% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Sagamihara to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Matsumoto Yamaga, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 57% probability for Sagamihara. Our top recommended betting pick is Sagamihara Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin as part of the J3 League.
