J2 League · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Albirex Niigata
Home
1-0
Full time
Denka Big Swan Stadium
Montedio Yamagata
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.38
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.96 - 2
Win probability
Home
11%
Draw
21%
Away
68%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
68%
1.38
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
64%
1.47
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
36%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Albirex Niigata wins
0
Draws
1
Montedio Yamagata wins
26 Jul 2026
Albirex Niigata
3 - 4
Montedio Yamagata
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
60%
40%
Attack
66%
20%
Defence
53%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
11%
Win probability
68%
Home and away record
Albirex Niigata
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Montedio Yamagata
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Albirex Niigata | Montedio Yamagata | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/8 75% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 50% 4/8 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 13% 1/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/8 50% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 1/8 13% |
At half time
Albirex Niigata
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Montedio Yamagata
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
38%
Behind
13%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Albirex Niigata |
16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 32 |
| 14 |
Montedio Yamagata |
16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | -2 | 19 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Albirex Niigata face Montedio Yamagata in J2 League. Albirex Niigata have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 12 (1.8 points per game). Montedio Yamagata have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Albirex Niigata won 0, Montedio Yamagata won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 36%.
Montedio Yamagata's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 68% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Montedio Yamagata to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 11% win probability for Albirex Niigata, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 68% probability for Montedio Yamagata. Our top recommended betting pick is Montedio Yamagata Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 36%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 09:00 (East Africa Time) at Denka Big Swan Stadium as part of the J2 League.
