Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Casalarreina
Home
0-3
Full time
Venue TBC
La Calzada
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Casalarreina wins
0
Draws
0
La Calzada wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
95%
Recent form
33%
66%
Attack
33%
66%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
3 matches.
| Casalarreina | La Calzada | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 1/1 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 100% 1/1 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/1 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 100% 1/1 | Both teams scored | 2/3 67% |
| 0% 0/1 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/3 0% |
| 0% 0/1 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Casalarreina
from 1 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
100%
Level
0%
Behind
0%
La Calzada
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
33%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
La Calzada |
9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 21 |
| 18 |
Casalarreina |
9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | -17 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Casalarreina face La Calzada in Tercera División RFEF - Group 16. Casalarreina have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 1 games, scoring 2 and conceding 1 (3 points per game). La Calzada have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Casalarreina, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for La Calzada. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 09:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Tercera División RFEF - Group 16.
