Persha Liga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Probiy Horodenka
Home
0-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Yarud Mariupol'
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.40
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.08 - 1.97
Win probability
Home
16%
Draw
17%
Away
67%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
67%
1.40
Double Chance
Draw/Away
84%
1.12
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.27
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
66%
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
74%
Over 2.5
66%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.05
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Probiy Horodenka wins
0
Draws
0
Yarud Mariupol' wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
86%
6%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
16%
Win probability
67%
Home and away record
Probiy Horodenka
last 4 at home
0W
3D
1L
0.75
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Yarud Mariupol'
last 5 away from home
2W
2D
1L
1.60
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Probiy Horodenka | Yarud Mariupol' | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 8/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 75% 6/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/10 10% |
| 38% 3/8 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Probiy Horodenka
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
25%
Behind
63%
Yarud Mariupol'
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Yarud Mariupol' |
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Probiy Horodenka |
15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -20 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Probiy Horodenka face Yarud Mariupol' in Persha Liga. Probiy Horodenka have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 14 (0.8 points per game). Yarud Mariupol' have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 74% and Both Teams to Score at 66%.
Yarud Mariupol''s counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 67% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Yarud Mariupol' to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 16% win probability for Probiy Horodenka, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 67% probability for Yarud Mariupol'. Our top recommended betting pick is Yarud Mariupol' Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.05 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 66% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 10:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Persha Liga.
