Eredivisie · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Excelsior
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadion Woudestein
Utrecht
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.42 - 1.53
Win probability
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Draw/Away
70%
1.34
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.95
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Excelsior wins
0
Draws
0
Utrecht wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
13%
80%
Attack
60%
66%
Defence
5%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
30%
Win probability
47%
Home and away record
Excelsior
last 3 at home
2W
0D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Utrecht
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
1.33
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Excelsior | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 90% 9/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/9 0% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 3/9 33% |
At half time
Excelsior
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
78%
Level
11%
Behind
11%
Utrecht
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
22%
Behind
78%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Utrecht |
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -13 | 12 |
| 15 |
Excelsior |
12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 11 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Excelsior face Utrecht in Eredivisie. Excelsior have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 5 (2 points per game). Utrecht have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 18 (0.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Utrecht's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 47% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Utrecht to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 30% win probability for Excelsior, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 47% probability for Utrecht. Our top recommended betting pick is Utrecht Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.95 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 10:15 (East Africa Time) at Stadion Woudestein as part of the Eredivisie.
