Virsliga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
BFC Daugavpils
Home
1-2
Full time
Stadions Celtnieks
Rīgas FS
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.21
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.94 - 2.22
Win probability
Home
10%
Draw
11%
Away
78%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
78%
1.21
Double Chance
Draw/Away
89%
1.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
70%
1.34
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.16
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
BFC Daugavpils wins
0
Draws
1
Rīgas FS wins
30 Jun 2026
Rīgas FS
3 - 1
BFC Daugavpils
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
53%
40%
Attack
60%
60%
Defence
60%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
10%
Win probability
78%
Home and away record
BFC Daugavpils
last 6 at home
4W
1D
1L
2.17
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Rīgas FS
last 8 away from home
6W
1D
1L
2.38
points a game
1.38
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| BFC Daugavpils | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
BFC Daugavpils
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
50%
Behind
20%
Rīgas FS
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
BFC Daugavpils face Rīgas FS in Virsliga. BFC Daugavpils have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 6 (1 points per game). Rīgas FS have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, BFC Daugavpils won 0, Rīgas FS won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 70%.
Rīgas FS's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 78% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Rīgas FS to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 10% win probability for BFC Daugavpils, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 78% probability for Rīgas FS. Our top recommended betting pick is Rīgas FS Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.16 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 70% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 11:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadions Celtnieks as part of the Virsliga.
