Ykkönen · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
TPV
Home
4-2
Full time
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
KuPS Akatemia
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
79%
1.19
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
77%
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
79%
Over 2.5
77%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
TPV wins
0
Draws
0
KuPS Akatemia wins
18 Jul 2026
TPV
3 - 1
KuPS Akatemia
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
26%
33%
Attack
53%
46%
Defence
33%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
TPV
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
2.20
scored a game
1.40
conceded a game
KuPS Akatemia
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
2.33
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| TPV | KuPS Akatemia | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 9/10 90% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
TPV
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
70%
Level
10%
Behind
20%
KuPS Akatemia
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
40%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
TPV face KuPS Akatemia in Ykkönen. TPV have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). KuPS Akatemia have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 10 (0.8 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, TPV won 1, KuPS Akatemia won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 79% and Both Teams to Score at 77%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for TPV, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for KuPS Akatemia. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 77% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 12:00 (East Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass as part of the Ykkönen.
