Ligue 1 · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Lille
Home
2-0
Full time
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Estac Troyes
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.68
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.04 - 1.03
Win probability
Home
56%
Draw
20%
Away
24%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
56%
1.68
Double Chance
Home/Draw
76%
1.24
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
70%
1.34
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
70%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.07
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lille wins
0
Draws
0
Estac Troyes wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
40%
60%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
56%
Win probability
24%
Home and away record
Lille
last 3 at home
1W
1D
1L
1.33
points a game
2.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Estac Troyes
last 4 away from home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.25
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Lille | Estac Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| 88% 7/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 63% 5/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/9 33% |
| 63% 5/8 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 38% 3/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/9 33% |
| 0% 0/8 | Failed to score | 1/9 11% |
At half time
Lille
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
63%
Level
25%
Behind
13%
Estac Troyes
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Lille face Estac Troyes in Ligue 1. Lille have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Estac Troyes have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 9 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 70% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 56% probability backing Lille, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lille to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 56% win probability for Lille, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 24% probability for Estac Troyes. Our top recommended betting pick is Lille Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.07 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 13:00 (East Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy as part of the Ligue 1.
