1. Liga Promotion · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Lugano II
Home
3-0
Full time
Venue TBC
Basel II
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.27
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
17%
Away
35%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
93%
1.01
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
89%
1.06
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
93%
Over 2.5
89%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Lugano II wins
0
Draws
0
Basel II wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
60%
66%
Attack
80%
6%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
47%
Win probability
35%
Home and away record
Lugano II
last 4 at home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.50
conceded a game
Basel II
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
2.50
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Lugano II | Basel II | |
|---|---|---|
| 71% 5/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 71% 5/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 71% 5/7 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 0% 0/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/7 0% |
At half time
Lugano II
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
Basel II
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
17%
Behind
33%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
Basel II |
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -2 | 20 |
| 16 |
Lugano II |
15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -17 | 13 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Lugano II face Basel II in 1. Liga Promotion. Lugano II have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 14 (1.2 points per game). Basel II have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 93% and Both Teams to Score at 89%.
With a 47% probability backing Lugano II, home advantage and superior chance creation make Lugano II to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Lugano II, a 17% chance of a draw, and a 35% probability for Basel II. Our top recommended betting pick is Lugano II Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 89% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the 1. Liga Promotion.
