Bundesliga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
RB Leipzig
Home
5-0
Full time
Red Bull Arena
Hamburger SV
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.31
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.43 - 0.76
Win probability
Home
72%
Draw
16%
Away
12%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
72%
1.31
Double Chance
Home/Draw
88%
1.07
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68%
1.38
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
68%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.19
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
RB Leipzig wins
0
Draws
0
Hamburger SV wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
46%
80%
Attack
46%
33%
Defence
33%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
72%
Win probability
12%
Home and away record
RB Leipzig
last 3 at home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.67
scored a game
0.00
conceded a game
Hamburger SV
last 4 away from home
2W
0D
2L
1.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/7 100% |
| 78% 7/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 44% 4/9 | Both teams scored | 4/7 57% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/7 14% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
RB Leipzig
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
11%
Behind
44%
Hamburger SV
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
0%
Behind
71%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
RB Leipzig |
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 18 |
| 11 |
Hamburger SV |
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 12 |
Match Preview & Analysis
RB Leipzig face Hamburger SV in Bundesliga. RB Leipzig have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 12 and conceding 10 (1.2 points per game). Hamburger SV have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 10 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 68% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 72% probability backing RB Leipzig, home advantage and superior chance creation make RB Leipzig to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 72% win probability for RB Leipzig, a 16% chance of a draw, and a 12% probability for Hamburger SV. Our top recommended betting pick is RB Leipzig Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.19 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Red Bull Arena as part of the Bundesliga.
