Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
UD da Serra
Home
1-1
Full time
Campo da Portela
Mortágua
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.44 - 1.56
Win probability
Home
31%
Draw
20%
Away
48%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
79%
1.19
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
75%
1.25
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
73%
1.29
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
75%
Over 2.5
73%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
UD da Serra wins
0
Draws
0
Mortágua wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
83%
Recent form
83%
83%
Attack
66%
75%
Defence
75%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
31%
Win probability
48%
Home and away record
UD da Serra
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Mortágua
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| UD da Serra | Mortágua | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/4 50% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 3/4 75% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/4 25% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/4 25% |
At half time
UD da Serra
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
25%
Behind
0%
Mortágua
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
UD da Serra face Mortágua in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C. UD da Serra have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.5 points per game). Mortágua have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 8 and conceding 3 (2.5 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 75% and Both Teams to Score at 73%.
Mortágua's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 48% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Mortágua to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 31% win probability for UD da Serra, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 48% probability for Mortágua. Our top recommended betting pick is Mortágua Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 73% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Portela as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
