Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Portel
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Aljustrelense
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.16
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.64 - 0.63
Win probability
Home
81%
Draw
13%
Away
6%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
81%
1.16
Double Chance
Home/Draw
94%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.27
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Portel wins
0
Draws
0
Aljustrelense wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
50%
Recent form
44%
95%
Attack
44%
58%
Defence
44%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
81%
Win probability
6%
Home and away record
Portel
last 1 at home
0W
1D
0L
1.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Aljustrelense
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
1.50
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
4 matches.
| Portel | Aljustrelense | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 4/4 | Over 1.5 goals | 3/3 100% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/3 67% |
| 75% 3/4 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/3 33% |
| 75% 3/4 | Both teams scored | 1/3 33% |
| 25% 1/4 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/3 33% |
| 0% 0/4 | Failed to score | 1/3 33% |
At half time
Portel
from 4 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Aljustrelense
from 3 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
0%
Behind
67%
Match Preview & Analysis
Portel face Aljustrelense in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D. Portel have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 4 games, scoring 13 and conceding 5 (1.5 points per game). Aljustrelense have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 3 games, scoring 4 and conceding 5 (1.33 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 81% probability backing Portel, home advantage and superior chance creation make Portel to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 81% win probability for Portel, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 6% probability for Aljustrelense. Our top recommended betting pick is Portel Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.27 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D.
