Úrvalsdeild · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Valur Reykjavik
Home
4-1
Full time
Venue TBC
Thor Akureyri
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
83%
1.13
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
80%
1.18
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
83%
Over 2.5
80%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Valur Reykjavik wins
0
Draws
0
Thor Akureyri wins
28 Jun 2026
Thor Akureyri
2 - 4
Valur Reykjavik
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
40%
53%
Attack
26%
6%
Defence
46%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Valur Reykjavik
last 7 at home
1W
3D
3L
0.86
points a game
1.71
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Thor Akureyri
last 6 away from home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
0.83
scored a game
2.17
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Valur Reykjavik | Thor Akureyri | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 60% 6/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Valur Reykjavik
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Thor Akureyri
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Match Preview & Analysis
Valur Reykjavik face Thor Akureyri in Úrvalsdeild. Valur Reykjavik have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 14 (1 points per game). Thor Akureyri have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Valur Reykjavik won 1, Thor Akureyri won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 83% and Both Teams to Score at 80%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Valur Reykjavik, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Thor Akureyri. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 80% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 14:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Úrvalsdeild.
