Segunda Liga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Amarante
Home
2-2
Full time
Amarante Stadium
União de Leiria
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.25
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.87 - 2.15
Win probability
Home
7%
Draw
18%
Away
75%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
75%
1.25
Double Chance
Draw/Away
93%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.02
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Amarante wins
0
Draws
0
União de Leiria wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
53%
60%
Defence
66%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
7%
Win probability
75%
Home and away record
Amarante
last 2 at home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
0.50
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
União de Leiria
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Amarante | União de Leiria | |
|---|---|---|
| 57% 4/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/7 57% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 2/7 29% |
| 29% 2/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/7 43% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Amarante
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
17%
Behind
67%
União de Leiria
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
40%
Behind
20%
Match Preview & Analysis
Amarante face União de Leiria in Segunda Liga. Amarante have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game). União de Leiria have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 5 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
União de Leiria's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 75% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for União de Leiria to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 7% win probability for Amarante, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 75% probability for União de Leiria. Our top recommended betting pick is União de Leiria Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.02 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 14:30 (East Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium as part of the Segunda Liga.
