Premyer Liqa · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Zira
Home
1-1
Full time
Zira Stadium
Qarabag
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.12
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.72 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
84%
Draw
7%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
84%
1.12
Double Chance
Home/Draw
91%
1.03
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.33
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Zira wins
0
Draws
0
Qarabag wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
80%
46%
Attack
60%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
84%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Zira
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.40
conceded a game
Qarabag
last 5 away from home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Zira | Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 75% 6/8 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 4/8 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 25% 2/8 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 25% 2/8 | Both teams scored | 3/10 30% |
| 50% 4/8 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 25% 2/8 | Failed to score | 3/10 30% |
At half time
Zira
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
75%
Level
13%
Behind
13%
Qarabag
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Zira face Qarabag in Premyer Liqa. Zira have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 7 (2 points per game). Qarabag have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 7 (2.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
With a 84% probability backing Zira, home advantage and superior chance creation make Zira to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 84% win probability for Zira, a 7% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Qarabag. Our top recommended betting pick is Zira Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.33 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 15:00 (East Africa Time) at Zira Stadium as part of the Premyer Liqa.
