Ligue 1 · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Le Mans
Home
2-2
Full time
MMArena
Lens
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.71
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.25 - 1.71
Win probability
Home
23%
Draw
22%
Away
55%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
55%
1.71
Double Chance
Draw/Away
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.96
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Le Mans wins
0
Draws
0
Lens wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
60%
33%
Attack
66%
53%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
23%
Win probability
55%
Team news
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaa · Sprained Ankle
- D. Sidibé · Foot Injury
- E. Colas · Injury
- H. Voyer · Thigh Injury
- Y. Larouci · Groin Injury
- T. Eyoum · Coach's decision
- E. Quarshie · Coach's decision
- M. Rossignol · Injury
Lens
No absences reported.
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Le Mans
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Lens
last 2 away from home
1W
0D
1L
1.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Le Mans | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 70% 7/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/9 78% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/9 56% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/9 67% |
| 20% 2/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 2/9 22% |
At half time
Le Mans
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Lens
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Le Mans face Lens in Ligue 1. Le Mans have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 7 (0.6 points per game). Lens have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 7 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Lens's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 55% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Lens to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 23% win probability for Le Mans, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 55% probability for Lens. Our top recommended betting pick is Lens Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.96 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 15:15 (East Africa Time) at MMArena as part of the Ligue 1.
