Erovnuli Liga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Saburtalo
Home
1-0
Full time
Mikheil Meskhi Stadium
Spaeri
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.09
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
23%
Away
27%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Draw
73%
1.29
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66%
1.42
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
67%
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
66%
Over 2.5
67%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.99
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Saburtalo wins
0
Draws
0
Spaeri wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
46%
40%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
27%
Home and away record
Saburtalo
last 6 at home
3W
1D
2L
1.67
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Spaeri
last 6 away from home
1W
3D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Saburtalo | Spaeri | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 20% 2/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 8/10 80% |
| 10% 1/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/10 0% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Saburtalo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
50%
Behind
50%
Spaeri
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
44%
Behind
22%
Match Preview & Analysis
Saburtalo face Spaeri in Erovnuli Liga. Saburtalo have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.6 points per game). Spaeri have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 11 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 66% and Both Teams to Score at 67%.
With a 50% probability backing Saburtalo, home advantage and superior chance creation make Saburtalo to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Saburtalo, a 23% chance of a draw, and a 27% probability for Spaeri. Our top recommended betting pick is Saburtalo Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.99 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 67% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium as part of the Erovnuli Liga.
