Serie A · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Napoli
Home
1-0
Full time
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Bologna
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.49
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.21 - 0.87
Win probability
Home
63%
Draw
20%
Away
17%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
63%
1.49
Double Chance
Home/Draw
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.08
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Napoli wins
0
Draws
0
Bologna wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
6%
73%
Attack
20%
46%
Defence
40%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
63%
Win probability
17%
Team news
Napoli
- A. Buongiorno · Jumpers Knee
- Alisson Santos · Muscle Injury
- L. Marianucci · Off the roster
- L. Spinazzola · Thigh Injury
- C. Favasuli · Thigh Injury
- M. Olivera · Muscle Injury
- David Neres · Thigh Injury
- B. Badiashile · Injury
Bologna
- E. Holm · Thigh Injury
- R. Piccoli · Hamstring Injury
- L. De Silvestri · Muscle Injury
- J. Enem · Achilles Tendon Injury
- R. Orsolini · Thigh Injury
- S. Mbangula · Injury
- J. Odgaard · Thigh Injury
- A. Dovbyk · Muscle Injury
Absences as last reported. Line-ups are confirmed about an hour before kick-off.
Home and away record
Napoli
last 7 at home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
1.43
conceded a game
Bologna
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Napoli | Bologna | |
|---|---|---|
| 89% 8/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/9 67% |
| 56% 5/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/9 44% |
| 67% 6/9 | Both teams scored | 4/9 44% |
| 22% 2/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/9 11% |
| 11% 1/9 | Failed to score | 4/9 44% |
At half time
Napoli
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
44%
Level
33%
Behind
22%
Bologna
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
44%
Behind
33%
Match Preview & Analysis
Napoli face Bologna in Serie A. Napoli have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 8 (1.2 points per game). Bologna have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9 (0.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 63% probability backing Napoli, home advantage and superior chance creation make Napoli to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 63% win probability for Napoli, a 20% chance of a draw, and a 17% probability for Bologna. Our top recommended betting pick is Napoli Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.08 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona as part of the Serie A.
