Liga 3 · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Caldas
Home
2-0
Full time
Campo da Mata
Vitória de Sernache
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.68
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
13%
Away
8%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
92%
1.02
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
73%
1.29
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
73%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Caldas wins
0
Draws
0
Vitória de Sernache wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
26%
Recent form
26%
26%
Attack
40%
46%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
8%
Home and away record
Caldas
last 4 at home
0W
2D
2L
0.50
points a game
1.25
scored a game
2.25
conceded a game
Vitória de Sernache
last 3 away from home
1W
0D
2L
1.00
points a game
1.67
scored a game
2.67
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Caldas | Vitória de Sernache | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 3/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/5 80% |
| 50% 3/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/5 60% |
| 50% 3/6 | Both teams scored | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/5 40% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 2/5 40% |
At half time
Caldas
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
33%
Behind
50%
Vitória de Sernache
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
0%
Level
60%
Behind
40%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
Caldas |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 |
Vitória de Sernache |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Caldas face Vitória de Sernache in Liga 3. Caldas have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (0.8 points per game). Vitória de Sernache have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 11 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 73% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 79% probability backing Caldas, home advantage and superior chance creation make Caldas to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Caldas, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 8% probability for Vitória de Sernache. Our top recommended betting pick is Caldas Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Campo da Mata as part of the Liga 3.
