Ligi kuu Bara · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Kagera Sugar
Home
1-1
Full time
Kaitaba Stadium
Fountain Gate
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Draw/Away
64%
1.47
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Kagera Sugar wins
0
Draws
0
Fountain Gate wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
6%
Recent form
20%
26%
Attack
6%
13%
Defence
46%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Kagera Sugar
last 3 at home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.33
scored a game
1.67
conceded a game
Fountain Gate
last 3 away from home
0W
1D
2L
0.33
points a game
0.00
scored a game
1.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Kagera Sugar | Fountain Gate | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 5/5 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/8 50% |
| 40% 2/5 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/8 25% |
| 20% 1/5 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/8 13% |
| 60% 3/5 | Both teams scored | 1/8 13% |
| 0% 0/5 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/8 25% |
| 40% 2/5 | Failed to score | 6/8 75% |
At half time
Kagera Sugar
from 5 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
0%
Behind
60%
Fountain Gate
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 |
Fountain Gate |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |
Kagera Sugar |
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Kagera Sugar face Fountain Gate in Ligi kuu Bara. Kagera Sugar have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 13 (0.2 points per game). Fountain Gate have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Kagera Sugar, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Fountain Gate. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 16:00 (East Africa Time) at Kaitaba Stadium as part of the Ligi kuu Bara.
