Persian Gulf Pro League · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
Fajr Sepasi
Home
2-1
Full time
Hafezieh Stadium
Aluminium Arak
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.57
Predicted score
1 - 2
Goal expectancy (xG)
0.92 - 2.02
Win probability
Home
9%
Draw
22%
Away
69%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
60%
1.57
Double Chance
Draw/Away
82%
1.15
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
63%
1.49
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
39%
Over 2.5
37%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.94
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Fajr Sepasi wins
0
Draws
0
Aluminium Arak wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
60%
20%
Attack
46%
46%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
9%
Win probability
69%
Home and away record
Fajr Sepasi
last 3 at home
0W
3D
0L
1.00
points a game
0.33
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Aluminium Arak
last 3 away from home
3W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.33
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Fajr Sepasi | Aluminium Arak | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/7 71% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 1/7 14% |
| 43% 3/7 | Both teams scored | 3/7 43% |
| 43% 3/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/7 57% |
| 43% 3/7 | Failed to score | 2/7 29% |
At half time
Fajr Sepasi
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
Aluminium Arak
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
57%
Behind
14%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
Aluminium Arak |
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |
Fajr Sepasi |
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 14 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Fajr Sepasi face Aluminium Arak in Persian Gulf Pro League. Fajr Sepasi have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (1 points per game). Aluminium Arak have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 39% and Both Teams to Score at 37%.
Aluminium Arak's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 69% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Aluminium Arak to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-2, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 9% win probability for Fajr Sepasi, a 22% chance of a draw, and a 69% probability for Aluminium Arak. Our top recommended betting pick is Aluminium Arak Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 2, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.94 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 37%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026 at 13:30 (East Africa Time) at Hafezieh Stadium as part of the Persian Gulf Pro League.
