Liga Nacional · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Mixco
Home
3-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Aurora
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.62
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.09 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
58%
Draw
19%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
58%
1.62
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
77%
1.22
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
77%
Over 2.5
72%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.1
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Mixco wins
0
Draws
0
Aurora wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
60%
53%
Attack
53%
40%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
58%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Mixco
last 6 at home
5W
1D
0L
2.67
points a game
2.33
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Aurora
last 8 away from home
2W
3D
3L
1.13
points a game
1.13
scored a game
1.38
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Mixco | Aurora | |
|---|---|---|
| 90% 9/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/10 10% |
At half time
Mixco
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
30%
Behind
40%
Aurora
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
30%
Behind
30%
Match Preview & Analysis
Mixco face Aurora in Liga Nacional. Mixco have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.4 points per game). Aurora have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 4 (1.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 77% and Both Teams to Score at 72%.
With a 58% probability backing Mixco, home advantage and superior chance creation make Mixco to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 58% win probability for Mixco, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Aurora. Our top recommended betting pick is Mixco Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.1 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 72% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Nacional.
