Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Primeira Liga · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Arouca
Home
1-2
Full time
Venue TBC
Santa Clara
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.00
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.83 - 1.14
Win probability
Home
47%
Draw
24%
Away
29%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
47%
2.00
Double Chance
Home/Draw
71%
1.32
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.97
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Arouca wins
0
Draws
1
Santa Clara wins
25 Jul 2026
Santa Clara
3 - 0
Arouca
Why this prediction
66%
Recent form
73%
46%
Attack
60%
80%
Defence
80%
5%
Head-to-head
95%
47%
Win probability
29%
Home and away record
Arouca
last 2 at home
2W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
3.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Santa Clara
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Arouca | Santa Clara | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 3/10 30% |
| 20% 2/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 6/10 60% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 0/10 0% |
At half time
Arouca
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
14%
Level
86%
Behind
0%
Santa Clara
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
50%
Level
50%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Arouca face Santa Clara in Primeira Liga. Arouca have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 7 and conceding 3 (2 points per game). Santa Clara have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 9 and conceding 3 (2.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Arouca won 0, Santa Clara won 1 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 47% probability backing Arouca, home advantage and superior chance creation make Arouca to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 47% win probability for Arouca, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 29% probability for Santa Clara. Our top recommended betting pick is Arouca Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.97 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 17:00 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Primeira Liga.
