Primera B Metropolitana · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Argentino Quilmes
Home
1-0
Full time
Barranca Quilmena stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.84
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.92 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
51%
Draw
26%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
51%
1.84
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.93
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Argentino Quilmes wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Merlo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
20%
Recent form
20%
20%
Attack
6%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
51%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Argentino Quilmes
last 6 at home
1W
2D
3L
0.83
points a game
0.17
scored a game
1.17
conceded a game
Deportivo Merlo
last 8 away from home
0W
5D
3L
0.63
points a game
0.50
scored a game
1.50
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Argentino Quilmes | Deportivo Merlo | |
|---|---|---|
| 30% 3/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 10% 1/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 10% 1/10 | Both teams scored | 5/10 50% |
| 60% 6/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 70% 7/10 | Failed to score | 5/10 50% |
At half time
Argentino Quilmes
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
80%
Behind
0%
Deportivo Merlo
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
70%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |
Deportivo Merlo |
41 | 11 | 15 | 15 | -15 | 48 |
| 16 |
Argentino Quilmes |
41 | 10 | 17 | 14 | -7 | 47 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Argentino Quilmes face Deportivo Merlo in Primera B Metropolitana. Argentino Quilmes have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 8 (0.6 points per game). Deportivo Merlo have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 1 and conceding 3 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 51% probability backing Argentino Quilmes, home advantage and superior chance creation make Argentino Quilmes to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 51% win probability for Argentino Quilmes, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Deportivo Merlo. Our top recommended betting pick is Argentino Quilmes Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.93 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Barranca Quilmena stadium as part of the Primera B Metropolitana.
