Serie C · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Ferroviária
Home
1-0
Full time
Arena Fonte Luminosa
Paysandu
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.77
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.97 - 1.01
Win probability
Home
53%
Draw
24%
Away
23%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
53%
1.77
Double Chance
Home/Draw
77%
1.22
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.98
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
1
Ferroviária wins
0
Draws
0
Paysandu wins
18 Aug 2026
Ferroviária
4 - 0
Paysandu
Why this prediction
53%
Recent form
40%
66%
Attack
33%
60%
Defence
66%
95%
Head-to-head
5%
53%
Win probability
23%
Home and away record
Ferroviária
last 5 at home
3W
1D
1L
2.00
points a game
1.40
scored a game
0.20
conceded a game
Paysandu
last 8 away from home
3W
0D
5L
1.13
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.63
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ferroviária | Paysandu | |
|---|---|---|
| 50% 5/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/10 60% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 40% 4/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/10 20% |
| 30% 3/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 3/10 30% |
| 40% 4/10 | Failed to score | 4/10 40% |
At half time
Ferroviária
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
70%
Behind
0%
Paysandu
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
30%
Behind
50%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ferroviária face Paysandu in Serie C. Ferroviária have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6 (1.6 points per game). Paysandu have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game).
In their last 1 meeting on record, Ferroviária won 1, Paysandu won 0 and 0 ended level. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 53% probability backing Ferroviária, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ferroviária to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 53% win probability for Ferroviária, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 23% probability for Paysandu. Our top recommended betting pick is Ferroviária Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.98 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 19:00 (East Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Luminosa as part of the Serie C.
