Liga Profesional Argentina · Sunday, 13 Sep 2026
Independiente
Home
1-1
Full time
Venue TBC
San Lorenzo
Away
Recommended tip
- @ -
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.66 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
40%
Draw
30%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
No tip for this market.
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.18
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
72%
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
20%
Over 2.5
28%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Independiente wins
0
Draws
0
San Lorenzo wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
46%
Recent form
46%
26%
Attack
13%
46%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
40%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Independiente
last 4 at home
1W
1D
2L
1.00
points a game
0.25
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
San Lorenzo
last 4 away from home
0W
1D
3L
0.25
points a game
0.00
scored a game
0.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
9 matches.
| Independiente | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| 44% 4/9 | Over 1.5 goals | 2/9 22% |
| 33% 3/9 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 22% 2/9 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/9 0% |
| 11% 1/9 | Both teams scored | 1/9 11% |
| 44% 4/9 | Kept a clean sheet | 4/9 44% |
| 56% 5/9 | Failed to score | 5/9 56% |
At half time
Independiente
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
22%
Level
56%
Behind
22%
San Lorenzo
from 9 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
11%
Level
67%
Behind
22%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |
Independiente |
32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | +3 | 47 |
| 18 |
San Lorenzo |
32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 41 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Independiente face San Lorenzo in Liga Profesional Argentina. Independiente have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 8 (1.4 points per game). San Lorenzo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 2 and conceding 3 (1.4 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 20% and Both Teams to Score at 28%.
With evenly matched metrics (40% vs 30%), tactical discipline from both sides favors a tightly fought stalemate (Match outcome). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 40% win probability for Independiente, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for San Lorenzo. Our top recommended betting pick is Double Chance / 1X2.
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 28%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Sunday, 13 Sep 2026 at 22:15 (East Africa Time) at home stadium as part of the Liga Profesional Argentina.
