Liga Nacional · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Atletico Independiente
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Carlos Miranda
Juticalpa
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.08
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.79 - 0.57
Win probability
Home
87%
Draw
10%
Away
3%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
87%
1.08
Double Chance
Home/Draw
97%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
71%
1.32
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
29%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.36
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Atletico Independiente wins
0
Draws
0
Juticalpa wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
40%
Recent form
20%
33%
Attack
26%
66%
Defence
20%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
87%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Atletico Independiente
last 3 at home
1W
2D
0L
1.67
points a game
1.00
scored a game
0.67
conceded a game
Juticalpa
last 2 away from home
0W
0D
2L
0.00
points a game
1.00
scored a game
3.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Atletico Independiente | Juticalpa | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 33% 2/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/6 33% |
| 67% 4/6 | Both teams scored | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 33% 2/6 | Failed to score | 3/6 50% |
At half time
Atletico Independiente
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
50%
Behind
33%
Juticalpa
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
17%
Level
67%
Behind
17%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Atletico Independiente |
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 |
Juticalpa |
12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | -17 | 6 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Atletico Independiente face Juticalpa in Liga Nacional. Atletico Independiente have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 (1.2 points per game). Juticalpa have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 12 (0.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 29%.
With a 87% probability backing Atletico Independiente, home advantage and superior chance creation make Atletico Independiente to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 87% win probability for Atletico Independiente, a 10% chance of a draw, and a 3% probability for Juticalpa. Our top recommended betting pick is Atletico Independiente Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.36 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 29%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 01:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Carlos Miranda as part of the Liga Nacional.
