MLS Next Pro · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Ventura County
Home
3-0
Full time
Dignity Health Sports Park
Tacoma Defiance
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.88
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.9 - 1.23
Win probability
Home
50%
Draw
18%
Away
33%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
50%
1.88
Double Chance
Home/Away
83%
1.13
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
89%
1.06
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
85%
1.11
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
89%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.13
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Ventura County wins
0
Draws
0
Tacoma Defiance wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
40%
73%
Attack
66%
60%
Defence
26%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
50%
Win probability
33%
Home and away record
Ventura County
last 5 at home
4W
1D
0L
2.60
points a game
3.20
scored a game
0.80
conceded a game
Tacoma Defiance
last 7 away from home
3W
1D
3L
1.43
points a game
1.86
scored a game
2.14
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Ventura County | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| 100% 10/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 9/10 90% |
| 70% 7/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 8/10 80% |
| 60% 6/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 70% 7/10 | Both teams scored | 6/10 60% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/10 20% |
| 0% 0/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Ventura County
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Tacoma Defiance
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
40%
Level
50%
Behind
10%
Match Preview & Analysis
Ventura County face Tacoma Defiance in MLS Next Pro. Ventura County have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 6 (2.2 points per game). Tacoma Defiance have won 2, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 11 (1.2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 89% and Both Teams to Score at 85%.
With a 50% probability backing Ventura County, home advantage and superior chance creation make Ventura County to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 50% win probability for Ventura County, a 18% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability for Tacoma Defiance. Our top recommended betting pick is Ventura County Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.13 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 85% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 02:00 (East Africa Time) at Dignity Health Sports Park as part of the MLS Next Pro.
