AFC Champions League Elite · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Neftchi
Home
1-0
Full time
Istiqlol Stadium
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.96
Predicted score
2 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.85 - 1.16
Win probability
Home
48%
Draw
21%
Away
30%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
48%
1.96
Double Chance
Home/Away
78%
1.21
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
69%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.01
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Neftchi wins
0
Draws
0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
33%
53%
Attack
40%
40%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
48%
Win probability
30%
Home and away record
Neftchi
last 8 at home
7W
1D
0L
2.75
points a game
2.63
scored a game
0.50
conceded a game
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
last 4 away from home
1W
2D
1L
1.25
points a game
2.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Neftchi | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | |
|---|---|---|
| 80% 8/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/7 86% |
| 80% 8/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/7 43% |
| 50% 5/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 2/7 29% |
| 50% 5/10 | Both teams scored | 6/7 86% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 0/7 0% |
| 20% 2/10 | Failed to score | 1/7 14% |
At half time
Neftchi
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
30%
Level
40%
Behind
30%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
29%
Behind
43%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 |
Neftchi |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Neftchi face Al Quwa Al Jawiya in AFC Champions League Elite. Neftchi have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 8 and conceding 9 (1.8 points per game). Al Quwa Al Jawiya have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 7 (1 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 69% and Both Teams to Score at 68%.
With a 48% probability backing Neftchi, home advantage and superior chance creation make Neftchi to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 48% win probability for Neftchi, a 21% chance of a draw, and a 30% probability for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Our top recommended betting pick is Neftchi Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.01 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 68% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 13:45 (East Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium as part of the AFC Champions League Elite.
