Serie A · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Como
Home
2-1
Full time
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Parma
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.15
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.67 - 0.61
Win probability
Home
82%
Draw
13%
Away
5%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
82%
1.15
Double Chance
Home/Draw
95%
1.01
Over / Under 2.5
No tip for this market.
Both Teams To Score
No BTTS
68%
1.38
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
50%
Over 2.5
32%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.28
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Como wins
0
Draws
0
Parma wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
26%
73%
Attack
20%
73%
Defence
60%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
82%
Win probability
5%
Home and away record
Como
last 1 at home
1W
0D
0L
3.00
points a game
4.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Parma
last 1 away from home
0W
0D
1L
0.00
points a game
0.00
scored a game
2.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
8 matches.
| Como | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| 86% 6/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/8 88% |
| 57% 4/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 43% 3/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/8 0% |
| 86% 6/7 | Both teams scored | 3/8 38% |
| 14% 1/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/8 13% |
| 14% 1/7 | Failed to score | 4/8 50% |
At half time
Como
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
57%
Level
29%
Behind
14%
Parma
from 8 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
13%
Level
50%
Behind
38%
Match Preview & Analysis
Como face Parma in Serie A. Como have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2.2 points per game). Parma have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 6 (0.8 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 50% and Both Teams to Score at 32%.
With a 82% probability backing Como, home advantage and superior chance creation make Como to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 82% win probability for Como, a 13% chance of a draw, and a 5% probability for Parma. Our top recommended betting pick is Como Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.28 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 32%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 16:30 (East Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia as part of the Serie A.
