Limited match data: this preview is still updating and is not promoted in search until enough form, standings and prediction evidence is available.
Iraqi League · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Erbil
Home
1-2
Full time
Franso Hariri Stadium
Al-Karma
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 2.14
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.76 - 1.07
Win probability
Home
44%
Draw
30%
Away
26%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
44%
2.14
Double Chance
Home/Draw
74%
1.27
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.40
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
33%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.83
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Erbil wins
0
Draws
0
Al-Karma wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
73%
Recent form
86%
40%
Attack
66%
93%
Defence
80%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
44%
Win probability
26%
Home and away record
Erbil
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
1.75
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Al-Karma
last 2 away from home
1W
1D
0L
2.00
points a game
1.50
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
6 matches.
| Erbil | Al-Karma | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% 4/6 | Over 1.5 goals | 6/6 100% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 2.5 goals | 3/6 50% |
| 0% 0/6 | Over 3.5 goals | 0/6 0% |
| 17% 1/6 | Both teams scored | 4/6 67% |
| 83% 5/6 | Kept a clean sheet | 2/6 33% |
| 17% 1/6 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Erbil
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
67%
Level
33%
Behind
0%
Al-Karma
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
33%
Level
67%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Erbil face Al-Karma in Iraqi League. Erbil have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 6 and conceding 1 (2.2 points per game). Al-Karma have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 3 (2.6 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 33% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
With a 44% probability backing Erbil, home advantage and superior chance creation make Erbil to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 44% win probability for Erbil, a 30% chance of a draw, and a 26% probability for Al-Karma. Our top recommended betting pick is Erbil Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.83 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 18:00 (East Africa Time) at Franso Hariri Stadium as part of the Iraqi League.
