AFC Champions League Elite · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Esteghlal FC
Home
3-0
Full time
Azadi Stadium
Al Sadd
Away
Recommended tip
Home Win @ 1.19
Predicted score
2 - 0
Goal expectancy (xG)
2.6 - 0.7
Win probability
Home
79%
Draw
11%
Away
9%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
1
79%
1.19
Double Chance
Home/Draw
90%
1.04
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
85%
1.11
Both Teams To Score
BTTS
69%
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
85%
Over 2.5
69%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
3.3
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Esteghlal FC wins
0
Draws
0
Al Sadd wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
60%
Recent form
95%
26%
Attack
95%
93%
Defence
53%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
79%
Win probability
9%
Home and away record
Esteghlal FC
last 4 at home
3W
1D
0L
2.50
points a game
2.00
scored a game
0.25
conceded a game
Al Sadd
last 4 away from home
3W
0D
1L
2.25
points a game
3.50
scored a game
1.75
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
7 matches.
| Esteghlal FC | Al Sadd | |
|---|---|---|
| 43% 3/7 | Over 1.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/6 83% |
| 14% 1/7 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/6 67% |
| 14% 1/7 | Both teams scored | 5/6 83% |
| 86% 6/7 | Kept a clean sheet | 1/6 17% |
| 29% 2/7 | Failed to score | 0/6 0% |
At half time
Esteghlal FC
from 7 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
29%
Level
71%
Behind
0%
Al Sadd
from 6 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
83%
Level
17%
Behind
0%
Match Preview & Analysis
Esteghlal FC face Al Sadd in AFC Champions League Elite. Esteghlal FC have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 1 (1.8 points per game). Al Sadd have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 games, scoring 20 and conceding 7 (3 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 85% and Both Teams to Score at 69%.
With a 79% probability backing Esteghlal FC, home advantage and superior chance creation make Esteghlal FC to Win (1) the primary recommendation. Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 2-0, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 79% win probability for Esteghlal FC, a 11% chance of a draw, and a 9% probability for Al Sadd. Our top recommended betting pick is Esteghlal FC Win (1).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 2 - 0, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 3.3 goals across both sides.
Yes. Both Teams To Score (BTTS / GG) is favored with a 69% likelihood based on recent scoring form and defensive concession rates.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 18:15 (East Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium as part of the AFC Champions League Elite.
