Primera Nacional · Monday, 14 Sep 2026
Defensores De Belgrano
Home
2-1
Full time
Estadio Juan Pasquale
Deportivo Madryn
Away
Recommended tip
Away Win @ 1.81
Predicted score
1 - 1
Goal expectancy (xG)
1.18 - 1.64
Win probability
Home
20%
Draw
28%
Away
52%
Predictions by market
Match Result (1X2)
2
52%
1.81
Double Chance
Draw/Away
80%
1.18
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.47
Both Teams To Score
No tip for this market.
Over 1.5 Goals
No tip for this market.
Goals & trends
36%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS
78%
Over 1.5
2.82
Avg goals
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Recent form: last 5 games
Head-to-head
0
Defensores De Belgrano wins
0
Draws
0
Deportivo Madryn wins
No previous meetings between these teams on record.
Why this prediction
33%
Recent form
66%
26%
Attack
73%
73%
Defence
73%
50%
Head-to-head
50%
20%
Win probability
52%
Home and away record
Defensores De Belgrano
last 6 at home
2W
2D
2L
1.33
points a game
1.17
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Deportivo Madryn
last 5 away from home
1W
3D
1L
1.20
points a game
1.00
scored a game
1.00
conceded a game
Goals and both teams to score
How often each side's games have finished this way, over their last
10 matches.
| Defensores De Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn | |
|---|---|---|
| 60% 6/10 | Over 1.5 goals | 7/10 70% |
| 30% 3/10 | Over 2.5 goals | 5/10 50% |
| 0% 0/10 | Over 3.5 goals | 4/10 40% |
| 40% 4/10 | Both teams scored | 4/10 40% |
| 30% 3/10 | Kept a clean sheet | 5/10 50% |
| 50% 5/10 | Failed to score | 2/10 20% |
At half time
Defensores De Belgrano
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
10%
Level
60%
Behind
30%
Deportivo Madryn
from 10 games where we hold the half-time score
Led at the break
20%
Level
60%
Behind
20%
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
Deportivo Madryn |
35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | +20 | 57 |
| 12 |
Defensores De Belgrano |
35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | -7 | 39 |
Match Preview & Analysis
Defensores De Belgrano face Deportivo Madryn in Primera Nacional. Defensores De Belgrano have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games, scoring 4 and conceding 4 (1 points per game). Deportivo Madryn have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 11 and conceding 4 (2 points per game).
There are no previous meetings between these sides in our records. Our model puts Over 2.5 Goals at 36% and Both Teams to Score at 50%.
Deportivo Madryn's counter-attacking efficiency awards them a 52% win probability, presenting genuine betting value for Deportivo Madryn to Win (2). Our algorithm forecasts a most likely final scoreline of 1-1, offering disciplined value for match winner and goals accumulator slips.
Frequently Asked Questions
Google FAQ Schema
Our data-driven prediction model calculates a 20% win probability for Defensores De Belgrano, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 52% probability for Deportivo Madryn. Our top recommended betting pick is Deportivo Madryn Win (2).
The most statistically probable scoreline prediction is 1 - 1, with an expected total goal expectancy (xG) of 2.82 goals across both sides.
BTTS Yes is evaluated at 50%, indicating a higher probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
The match takes place on Monday, 14 Sep 2026 at 18:30 (East Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Pasquale as part of the Primera Nacional.
